Thursday, March 22, 2007

2007 Mets Offensive Outlook

The Mets 2007 season looks bright, I don't pay attention to these beat writers that try to put down everything the Mets are doing. For example "Is Omar overselling his Mets?" The Mets in 2007 are likely to have one of the best offensive lineups in the league. That should carry a starting pitching staff which experts don't expect to be to good. It all starts with the lead off hitter Jose Reyes

Jose Reyes is a complete 5 tool player. He is one of the those players that just make you say "WOW" offensively Reyes will hit around .300 and steal around 65 bases. But Reyes has added a new dimension to his offensive game. Last year Reyes showed his power hitting 19 homeruns, and some like ESPN fantasy say that was a fluke. But I'm here to tell you this is no fluke. Reyes coming to camp even bigger then he was last year will hit somewhere in the range of 23-26 homeruns. Reyes is one of the best players in the league and at age 24 will have a chance to win a MVP this year if he stays healthy. A definite all-star

The Mets also have one of the best 3-4-5-6 combo's in the majors today, with
Carlos ² David Wright, and Moises Alou.

Carlos Beltran another 5 tool player looks to do better at home this year then he did last year when he hit just .224 with 15 homeruns and 38 rbi. Beltran has said repetitively this year that he wants to be a .300 hitter and steal more bases. He has been working with Ricky Henderson this spring on stealing more bases. Last year Beltran stole 18 bases, and it was pretty obvious he did not want to steal bases in front of Delgado. For Beltran to complete his goals he is going to have to hit MUCH better at home, but also a problem that was not talked about last season alot was Beltran batting Right Handed hit just .247 with 8 homeruns.
A 2007 outlook for Beltran should be somthing like .285-.292 average around 33 homeruns and 118 rbi. As for Beltran stealing bases, he's still going to be a little gun shy stealing in front of Delgado, 25 stolen bases should keep him happy.. In total another great year. A Definite all-star

Carlos Delgado had a horrible month of April which really killed his average, to go along with the elbow problems Delgado had throughout the season which turned this 300 hitter in 2005 to a .265 hitter in 2006. Delgado is still one of the most feared hitters in the game today, and when hes going good he can carry a team on his back for weeks. Delgado also like Beltran has to hit better at home at Shea Delgado hit .226. (Tell me the Mets can't wait for Citifield) The 2007 season for Delgado looks like a healthy one expect a higher average (.280-.285) and about the same Homerun Production (around 35) and provide a power bat to get Beltran pitches to hit. Might have a hard time making the all-star team in a league that consist of 2 of the best hitters in the game playing his posistion. (Pujols and Howard)

David Wright had an AMAZING MVP type 1st half of the season. Until he entered the homerun derby, now whether it be the homerun derby him getting tired or him having problems with his mom, Wright was not the same player in the second half, though he hit .360 in September he just didn't have the same power. What I think was Wright's main problem was that Cliff Floyd was just never healthy. Wright did not have that big power bat to protect him, and Wright became vunerable to the slider on the outside corner. With the addition of Moises Alou this should change.Wright has come to spring training and is more leveled out (Body) he is having a great spring training hitting .340+ and I expect Wright to be the player of the first half this season. 2007 outlook Wright to finally get to 30 homeruns. Also 120 rbi, and an average around .315. What people don't notice about Wright is that David Wright gets his stolen bases, which makes him key in fantasy leagues. Wright stole 20 bases last year, look for around the same this year. Definite All-Star

Last year one major problem with the Mets lineup was ability to hit Left Handed pitchers. Especially in the second half when David Wright struggled. But this signing of Right Handed hitter Moises Alou who absolutely crushed Left Handed pitching will change this(349 last year against leftys). Moises Alou signed with the Mets for a 1 year 8.5 million dollar contract with a team option for 2008. Alou insisted he had guaranteed 2 year deals from other teams but wanted to come to the Mets because it was his best chance to win. Alou only played in 98 games in 2006 (about same as Cliff Floyd) but in this 98 games he hit .301 with 22 homeruns and 74 rbi in just 345 at bats (a little more then half a season) The Mets know that Moises Alou is getting up there in age (41) and the Mets will give Alou his rest against mostly Right Handed pitchers, where Endy Chavez or David Newhan will fill in. But Alou is a major part to the offense this year, as he provides protection to David Wright, which last year Wright had none of when Floyd was hurt which could of caused to Wrights decrease in the second half. 2007 outlook without Injuries Moises Alou will still only play around 120 games for the Mets getting his rest. He should be around a .290-.300 average, around 24 homeruns and 90 rbi. Again this is only if he does not get hurt, this is alot to ask of a injury prone player. (last 3 years Moises Alou has hit 2006-.301 2005-.321 2004-.293) Alou has an OK chance to make the all-star team at this point its probably not likley.

Starting Staff, And Bullpen tomorrow?

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